[linux-guvenlik] A MESSAGE FROM AMBASSADOR LOGOGLU - HAFTADAN SECME HABERLER (fwd)

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Date: Tue 11 Mar 2003 - 07:40:03 EET

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    Turkey wants Iraq disarmed
    February 3, 2003
    Washington Times
    http://www.washtimes.com/op-ed/20030203-71352440.htm

    O. Faruk Logoglu

    Much has been written in recent weeks about what level of support Turkey
    might provide in the event of a war in Iraq. The Turkish government's
    deliberation over how best to contribute to the U.S.-led international
    effort to disarm Iraq has been construed as an indication of uncertainty,
    or even weakness, in our countries' long-standing alliance. Worse still,
    some have suggested that Turkey is attaching a dollar value to its support
    for the United States.

    Both notions are unfair and incorrect.

    While our timelines and priorities may be different, our countries'
    ultimate objectives are very much the same: the disarmament of Iraq in
    accordance with the will of the international community.

    Turkey is in a unique position with respect to Iraq. First, it is the only
    democracy among the frontline states whose active help the United States
    is seeking. In Turkey, as in America, the constitution, the Parliament,
    civil institutions and public opinion all have an influence on policy
    matters, especially when it comes to making decisions about war and peace.

    Second, Turkey is in a unique geographical location. After the last
    American soldier departs from the region, Turkey and Iraq will still be
    neighbors.

    Third, Turkey is faced with a very heavy and difficult agenda in its
    political life. Three months ago, while the U.S. Congress was completing
    its debate and authorizing President Bush to use force if necessary
    against Iraq, Turkey was in the midst of a general election campaign.
    Turkey's new government was then confronted with immediate economic
    challenges and an impending decision by the European Union regarding its
    possible accession. And also, our new government has placed a high
    priority on seeking a resolution to the question of Cyprus. Hence, we hope
    our consultations and deliberations on the Iraqi issue will be viewed in
    the context of these other major issues, and that the pace of our open and
    democratic process not be mistaken for slowrolling or stonewalling.

    Turkey's alliance with the United States goes back many decades, and is
    based on common values and mutual interests. Democracy, rule of law,
    respect for human rights, a commitment to a market economy and security
    bind the two nations together. Turkey has proven its worth as an ally and
    strategic partner to the U.S., starting with the Korean War. Today we
    stand together in confronting terrorism. We have joined hands to advance
    international security in Afghanistan, Bosnia, Kosovo, Macedonia, the
    Middle East, Somalia, the Caucasus and Central Asia.

    In 1991, we joined the U.S.-led international coalition because we
    recognized the serious implications of Iraq's invasion of Kuwait. We made
    this decision despite the tremendous economic hardship we expected to —
    and did — endure. With the knowledge of that experience, the United States
    and Turkey are discussing ways to keep the Turkish economy healthy and how
    to address the consequences of a war next door. But this discussion is in
    no way related to the degree of involvement by Turkey in such a conflict.
    Rather, that decision will depend on the facts of the matter itself, the
    national interests of Turkey, and our regard for the preservation of
    international legitimacy and solidarity.

    Over the years, U.S.-Turkish cooperation vis-a-vis Iraq has been concrete,
    substantial and sustained. Whether in the context of terrorism or in the
    enforcement of U.N. Security Council resolutions, Turkey has worked
    closely with the United States ever since the Gulf War. The long list of
    joint efforts includes our extension of Operation Northern Watch to enable
    continued enforcement of the no-fly zone in northern Iraq, our work to
    complete site surveys, our sustained military-to-military cooperation and
    continued close consultations at all levels with the U.S. government.

    Turkey is solemnly engaged in efforts to bring about a solution to the
    Iraqi question through peaceful means. The goal is to bring peace,
    security and prosperity to the region, to Iraq, to its neighbors and
    beyond. In this effort, Turkey will do its part as a responsible regional
    actor in concert with the United States, its ally and strategic partner,
    and the international community.

    O. Faruk Logoglu is Turkey's ambassador to the United States.

    Copyright © 2003 Embassy of the Republic of Turkey, Washington, DC.
    Powered by eDevlet Technologies Last Updated on MArch 1st, 2003

    =======PREVIOUS MESSGE FROM AMBASSADOR LOGOGLU============

     Turkey, The Dependable Ally
     Turkey wants Iraq disarmed

    Turkey, The Dependable Ally

    The past 50 years, the Turkish-US alliance has remained strong and passed
    every test, from Korea to Kosovo, from Somalia to Afghanistan and to the
    fight against terrorism.

    The Turkish-US alliance, its roots dating back to Cold War era, was not
    only based on a shared concern regarding the threat of communist
    totalitarianism, but also on the need to confront the emerging
    trans-boundary threats of ethnic nationalism, aggression and above all
    terrorism.

    Turkey was among the first countries to respond to the Iraqi aggression
    against Kuwait in 1990. Turkey did not hesitate to join the U.S.-led
    international coalition to halt the occupation of Kuwait in 1991 despite
    the war’s immediate effects on Turkish economy. Apart from trying to
    provide humanitarian relief to the 500.000 Kurdish refugees stampeding
    across the border into its territory, Turkey shut down the Iraq-Turkey oil
    pipeline and also lost its annual tourism income. The Turkish economy,
    which grew by 9.5 percent in 1990, plummeted to 0.5 percent growth in
    1991.

    Despite the immense cost of war and the fact that Turkey’s economy was hit
    hardest by its adverse effects and aftermath, Turkish cooperation with the
    U.S. on Iraq has been concrete, comprehensive and sustained since 1991.
    Indeed the Gulf Crisis has had a continuous impact on Turkey throughout
    the past 12 years. Since 1991, Turkey had a cumulative loss of about $100
    billion in GNP. Before the Gulf War, Iraq was Turkey’s second largest
    trading partner following Germany. The U.S. equivalent would be loosing
    Canada or Mexico as a trading partner. The national income per capita fell
    by more than one third as a sizeable portion of the Turkish people plunged
    into poverty.

    Another fall out of the Gulf War was the rise of terrorism. The terrorist
    organization PKK-KADEK took shelter in the power void created in Northern
    Iraq and organized sustained attacks in Turkey. PKK-KADEK terror claimed
    over 30.000 lives and injured more than 20.000. The suffering remains
    vivid in the collective memory of the Turkish people. Substantial
    economic, financial and human resources had to be diverted to fight
    against terrorism.

    Turkey’s resolute efforts clearly indicate that it is committed to the
    objective of disarming of Iraq in accordance with the UN resolutions as it
    stood against the Iraqi aggression in 1991. Within this context, Turkey
    initiated a regional conference in January 2003 that ended with a strong
    call to Iraq to comply fully and unconditionally with Resolution 1441.
    Turkey has also maintained its bilateral efforts to persuade Iraqi
    leadership to resolve this problem by peaceful means.

    Today Turkey and the U.S. are working hard and in a sustained manner to
    resolve the issue of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, a difficult and
    complex issue as Iraq is Turkey’s neighbor. There is a significant
    Turcoman population there. The U.S. is Turkey’s friend, ally and strategic
    partner. Turkey and the U.S. hold identical views on terrorism and on
    weapons of mass destruction. The Turkish economy is still fragile but
    there are many counter-veiling factors and variables. Turkish political
    agenda also contains other issues such as Cyprus, a case of ever greater
    imminence for Turkey.

    For these reasons, some people and circles in the US have not been
    sufficiently sensitive to the fact that the recent negotiations between
    Turkey and the US were not solely focused on economic issues. The two
    sides are seeking to clarify political, military and humanitarian issues
    concerning Iraq, above and beyond economic consideration. Turkey is
    concerned about the success of a military operation and the post-conflict
    strategy for Iraq.

    Money, then, was not the core issue, evidenced in the fact that an
    agreement on economic issues came earlier than the agreement on political
    and military questions between the sides.

    Nonetheless, the Turkish people and the Government are deeply concerned
    with the state of the economy. Not only have the losses incurred since the
    Gulf war remain uncompensated, but mere talk of war against Iraq in recent
    months has continued to damage the Turkish economy in various ways.
    Tourism has been affected and markets have become tense. Therefore it is
    absolutely necessary for the Turkish Government to obtain some credible
    assurance that its economy will not again pay the price of war against
    Iraq. Modest estimates point to a projected loss of 16.5 to 21 billion
    dollars annually due to its negative effects on the balance of payments,
    inflation, tourism, transportation, communication, contracts and oil
    prices. There will be additional expenditures to address humanitarian
    issues and increased military spending. Over the next four years the
    anticipated cost of war could total above 90 billion dollars. Undoubtedly,
    these are very legitimate concerns that any nation in a similar situation
    would take into account and adopt appropriate measures to address them.

    In addition to economic concerns, there are political, constitutional and
    strategic considerations of equal importance. To understand what is
    happening in Turkey, it is important to realize that Turkey is a
    democracy. Ninety four percent of the Turkish people are against war and
    news about reaching an agreement on the U.S. economic assistance package
    for Turkey has had no effect. Certainly, public opinion is something that
    the Government and the elected representatives of the people must be
    attentive to. What would an American President or Congress do if faced
    with such an overwhelming public sentiment?

    What is at stake here is also about constitutional requirements. Article
    92 of the Turkish Constitution stipulates that the basing of foreign
    troops on Turkish soil or the sending of Turkish troops abroad can only be
    with a decision of the Turkish Parliament and that the decision must be
    based on international legitimacy. In connection with Iraq, Turkey closely
    follows the deliberations of the UN Security Council as part of the need
    for international legitimacy. It is difficult to convince the people of
    Turkey that war is the only alternative to disarm Iraq. The challenge is
    particularly acute given the lack of consensus in the international
    community as reflected in differences among the members of the UN Security
    Council.

    There are also strategic concerns in play here. Should force be used
    against Iraq, it is of paramount importance that the territorial integrity
    and political unity of Iraq be preserved and protected under all
    circumstances for the sake of the Iraqi people and for regional and
    international stability. Turkey also wants to be certain that the rights
    of all the various groups are protected; that human rights of all Iraqi
    citizens respected; that its natural resources, including oil, are used to
    the benefit of the Iraqi people as a whole; that no group for whatever
    reason should be favored over others; and that all Iraqi citizens regard
    themselves as the rightful owners of all the regions and cities of Iraq,
    regardless of where they live. It is of critical importance that all the
    major population groups in Iraq, whether Arabs, Kurds Turcomans, as well
    as Assyrians or others, have the opportunity to determine the future of
    their country, freely and on equal footing. An Iraq whose people are
    secure under the rule of law and in peace with its neighbors will be a
    great asset for the stability and prosperity of the region which in the
    past has been the home of glorious civilizations.

    War is the last resort and should always be considered as such until all
    peaceful measures supported by the international community have been fully
    exhausted.

    Turkey holds its relations with the US in high regard. Turkey is
    determined to pursue its alliance with the U.S. based on mutual confidence
    and understanding. In line with the Turkish-U.S. strategic partnership,
    Turkey sent its soldiers and peace-keepers to Bosnia, Kosovo, Macedonia,
    the Middle East, Georgia, Somalia, East Timor and most recently to
    Afghanistan. Turkey did not risk the lives of its troops on these missions
    for any kind of financial benefit. These efforts were exerted in defense
    of freedom and the common values that Turkey and the U.S. hold dear –
    democracy, rule of law, respect for human rights and secularism.

    Let us therefore be fair to a nation that has always been a good friend of
    the American people and reliable ally of the U.S. by making an effort to
    understand the complexity of the challenges it faces.

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    USA Today March 4, 2003

     TURKEY: DEMOCRACY IN ACTION

    The Bush administration finds itself in a jam following the refusal of
    Turkey's parliament Saturday to let 62,000 U.S. forces use the country as
    a base to launch an invasion of Iraq from the north. With the White House
    saying that war is just weeks away, Turkey's unexpected rebuff forces the
    Pentagon to reshuffle its war plans.

    So important was the Turkish piece to the war puzzle that the
    administration had tied as much as $30 billion in economic aid to Turkey's
    military support. And so sure was the U.S. of Turkey's help that American
    warships were already massing off Turkish ports.

    Unless the parliament reverses its decision this week, the U.S. will have
    to scramble to reroute troops to Kuwait or move troops into northern Iraq
    using cargo planes. Military experts say those alternatives are more
    cumbersome and less effective than using Turkey.

    Asked about the decision, some Turkish leaders offered a simple, yet
    compelling, explanation: ''A completely democratic result'' was how
    Turkish leader Recep Tayyip Erdogan described the narrow vote to bar U.S.
    troops. In fact, many of the ''no'' votes cast by the parliament, as in
    any functioning democracy, reflected public opinion; in this case, its
    opposition to war with Iraq, which is as high as 94%, according to recent
    polls.

    As the only predominantly Muslim nation in the Middle East with a
    democratic form of government, Turkey presents an important, if highly
    inconvenient, civics lesson for the administration: Democracy can be
    unruly and unpredictable. Yet, as the world's best form of government --
    and one the U.S. wants to see emulated in other Muslim nations --
    democracy in action in the Turkish parliament is worth respecting.

    No such inconveniences block U.S. policy in many other Middle East nations
    precisely because they aren't democracies. The administration has gotten
    its way, at least in part, because it is dealing with authoritarian
    regimes, not elected governments, in Saudi Arabia and Jordan, for
    instance.

    That fact presents a second reason why the weekend vote poses a diplomatic
    challenge for the administration. President Bush has said one war aim is
    to smooth the way for a democratic government in Iraq that could prompt
    other neighbors to follow suit.

    The extent to which the administration shows its respect for Turkey's
    adherence to democratic principles -- difficult as that is proving for
    U.S. war plans -- will say much about its commitment to a democratized
    Middle East.

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    Erdogan Win Opens Way to Turkish PM Post
    By LOUIS MEIXLER
    .c The Associated Press

    ANKARA, Turkey (AP) - Governing party leader Recep Tayyip Erdogan won a
    seat in parliament by a huge margin Sunday, a crucial victory that opens
    the way for him to become prime minister and strengthens his hand in
    uniting the government behind deployment of U.S. troops for an Iraq war.

    The charismatic Erdogan - already the nation's de facto leader - has
    advocated the U.S. troop deployment in Turkey, and analysts say one of his
    first moves as premier could be to purge ministers who oppose it.

    Prime Minister Abdullah Gul is expected to resign Wednesday to make way
    for Erdogan to take over the government, after Erdogan's Justice and
    Development Party overwhelmingly won by-election balloting in the southern
    town of Siirt. Gov. Nuri Okutan of Siirt said Justice captured 84.7
    percent of the vote. Justice is likely to have won all three seats that
    were contested Sunday.

    It was unclear when parliament would be ready to take up a new resolution
    on U.S. troop deployment, after lawmakers failed to approve a resolution
    March 1.

    Turkish media say a vote could come as early as Thursday, but members of
    the Justice Party said it might be two weeks before a new government is in
    place.

    ``Our task is hard, our path is long but my peoples' trust is total,''
    Erdogan told supporters after the vote.

    Erdogan's election was likely to end some of the confusion within the
    Turkish government. Gul is head of the administration, but Erdogan leads
    the ruling party and is widely regarded as the power behind the scenes. It
    was Erdogan whom President Bush invited to the White House after Turkey's
    national elections in November.

    Some analysts say those muddled lines of authority contributed to the
    failure of the deployment resolution by a mere four votes in the 550-seat
    parliament - despite Justice's huge majority of 362 seats.

    Erdogan had been barred from running in November national elections
    because of a conviction for inciting religious hatred over a poem he read
    at a 1998 rally in Siirt, 60 miles north of the Iraqi border.

    Justice lawmakers changed the constitution after the national vote to
    allow Erdogan to run for office Sunday.

    ``In the November elections, the person who was the prime minister in our
    hearts was not able to become a deputy. This week this mistake, this shame
    is being rectified,'' said Deputy Prime Minister Ertugrul Yalcinbayir.

    The vote comes as Washington pressures Turkey to base U.S. combat troops
    to open a northern front against neighboring Iraq in a possible war. Ships
    carrying equipment for the soldiers are already off the Turkish coast, and
    it was unclear how long Washington could wait for a Turkish decision. Some
    equipment already has been unloaded and moved to a temporary staging area
    in southeastern Turkey not far from the border.

    Erdogan has hinted he will soon resubmit a troop deployment motion.
    Although the Turkish public is overwhelmingly against a war, Erdogan urged
    legislators after the failed vote to act ``not to satisfy their daily
    emotions but toward the country's future.''

    Rebuffing the United States risks straining ties with Washington and
    losing a say in the future of neighboring Iraq - as well as a $15 billion
    U.S. aid package offered in exchange for hosting U.S. troops.

    ``Recep Tayyip Erdogan's test in Siirt will determine the fate of the
    motion,'' Enis Berberoglu wrote in the Hurriyet newspaper. ``If a result
    that pleases the (Justice party) emerges from the elections, then
    Erdogan's hand will be strengthened.''

    The newspaper reported Saturday that Erdogan plans to sack four ministers
    who opposed the deployment, reducing the number of ministers from 24 to
    20.

    During Gul's premiership, Erdogan strongly influenced policy, and Cabinet
    ministers - including Gul - often consulted Erdogan after key meetings.

    Although Erdogan urged legislators to vote for the first failed
    resolution, his words are likely to have a stronger impact once he is in
    office.

    ``It is one thing to run a government by remote control and another to sit
    in the prime minister's seat,'' said Ilnur Cevik, editor in chief of the
    Turkish Daily News.

    ``Gul knew he was a transition prime minister and exerting your will on
    the party is very hard if you are a lame duck prime minister,'' Cevik
    said.

    The Siirt by-elections were scheduled after Turkey's election board ruled
    that a ballot box there had been tampered with during the national vote.

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    Annan holds make-or-break Cyprus talks

    THE HAGUE, March 10 (Reuters)

    U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan makes one last effort on Monday to
    resolve Cyprus's division in a bid to stave off the admission of a divided
    island and a bitter conflict to the European Union next year.

    Taking time out from the Iraq crisis for a mission that Annan believes
    could be a defining achievement of his U.N. leadership, the secretary
    general has warned if there is no agreement it could be a decade before a
    chance comes again.

    Annan will expect answers from Greek Cypriot leader Tassos Papadopoulos
    and Turkish Cypriot leader Rauf Denktash on Monday on whether they accept
    his call to put a complex power-sharing reunification blueprint to popular
    vote on March 30.

    The outcome of Monday's meeting is crucial for Turkey's hopes of joining
    the European Union as, united or not, the Greek Cypriot part will be
    accepted into the EU in May 2004. It signs the accession treaty with the
    bloc on April 16.

    Diplomats say the draft, revised three times, offers no leeway for more
    improvements. "This is it. There won't be a better plan and certainly not
    an Annan (plan) four," said a source close to consultations.

    On the eve of the meeting, the two sides were engaged in intensive
    discussions with aides at separate hotels in The Hague. "The response will
    be given to the secretary-general, not before," a Greek Cypriot source
    told Reuters.

    But the omens for Cyprus were not good.

    Between 30,000 and 40,000 Turkish Cypriots took to the streets of Nicosia
    on Friday to support veteran leader Denktash over his strong opposition to
    elements in the blueprint to end a 29-year-old division of the
    Mediterranean island.

    TURKISH OPPOSITION WANTS REFERENDUM

    But Turkish-Cypriot opponents of Denktash said on Sunday they would hold
    their own referendum on the plan after parliament failed to vote for a
    second time because the minimum number of deputies required failed to show
    up.

    While the Greek Cypriots have been loath to criticise the plan publicly,
    they have also signalled they would want improvements.

    The leaders must agree to the referendums at the Hague meeting but can
    still negotiate details of the plan until March 25, allowing time for
    referendums on March 30.

    Denktash believes the plan would create refugees and throw many Turkish
    Cypriots out of their homes on an island where two-thirds of the
    population are Greek Cypriots.

    Many Greek Cypriots oppose the plan because it commits them to sharing
    power with a minority and puts quotas on the numbers of their own refugees
    returning to former homes.

    As diverse as their positions on key points of the plan are, both seem to
    balk at the prospect of being herded into a shotgun deal.

    The island has been partitioned since Turkish troops invaded in 1974 in
    response to a coup by Greek Cypriot militants seeking union with Greece.
    Turkey seized more than one-third of Cyprus.

    Failure to reach a settlement on the plan, which allows for some transfer
    of land from the Turkish to the Greek side and for some Greeks to return
    to the Turkish-controlled area, could scuttle Turkey's ambitions to join
    the EU.

    The internationally recognised Greek Cypriot government is due to sign an
    accession treaty with the EU next month. Turkish Cyprus would be left
    outside without a deal and Turkey would be left in confrontation with the
    Union, which it wants to join.

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    Turkey Hosts EU Troika

    On January 31st, the EU Commissioner for Enlargement, Guenter Verheugen,
    gathered with Turkey's Foreign Minister Yasar Yakis, Greece's Foreign
    Minister George Papandreou, and Italy's Foreign Minister Franco Frattini
    in Ankara to discuss Turkey’s bid to join the EU. European leaders urged
    Turkish Cypriots and Turkey to agree to the plan drafted by the UN to
    reunify the island. At a summit meeting in December, EU members said
    membership negotiations with Turkey would start “without delay” if it met
    membership criteria by December 2004. Yakis vowed that Turkey would meet
    the criteria a year earlier than expected. Greece is holding the EU's
    rotating presidency and Italy is next in line.

    =====================
    From: "[iso-8859-1] Küfi Seydali" <kuefi.seydali@UTANET.AT>
    To: TF-ADVISORYBOARD@TURKISHFORUM.ORG
    Subject: VERHEUGEN A PAIN IN THE NECK...!!

    A great man once said; "His ignorance is as remarkable as his knowledge".
    Ofcourse he did not have Gunther Verheugen in mind, but who knows! He
    could have done, couldn't he?

    What EU Commissioner Verheugen is doing and saying with regards to
    Turkey's membership and the Cyprus conflict is as hypocritical as it is
    counter productive. Attempting to discuss the Cyprus issue or its EU
    membership without regard to the interests of Turkey in the context of
    Greek and Turkish competition in the Eastern Mediterranean, is, to say the
    least, playing with fire.

    Secondly, not Turkey but EU member Greece bears full responsibility for
    the creation of that monster called the Cyprus conflict. The Greek Cypriot
    administration of South Cyprus, loosely called "Cyprus" is a by-product of
    that Greek act of aggression aiming at Hellenizing the island.

    I can just visualize Verheugen sitting on a Cypriot donkey, facing
    backwards. The donkey will take him somewhere but definitely not where his
    EU Masters want !! Cyprus happens to be the home country of both Greek and
    Turkish Cypriots and is definitely not the EU's backyard.

    Verheugen's threats to Turkey are nothing more than barking up the wrong
    tree. His remarks can politely be called unfortunate, and his style, a
    pain in the neck.

    Kufi Seydali
    TF

    ****************************************************************
    VERHEUGEN:

    TURKEYS EU MEMBERSHIP IS UP TO A RESOLUTION IN CYPRUS

    Guenter Verheugen, European Union commissioner for enlargement, said
    yesterday that Turkeys EU membership was up to a resolution in Cyprus.
    Verheugen stated that the Greek Cyprus would be a member of the Union next
    year. He added that if Turkey didnt recognize Greek Cyprus after it joins
    the EU, he didnt know how the accession negotiations could begin with
    Turkey in 2004.

    Verheugen added that there was a golden chance to resolve the Cyprus issue
    and that if the two sides wouldnt reach an agreement, Turkish Republic of
    Northern Cyprus (TRNC) could face economic and political isolation.
    /Milliyet/

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    NATO Commander Orders AWACS to Turkey

    NATO announced on February 21st that Gen. James L. Jones, the NATO supreme
    allied commander in Europe, has ordered AWACS surveillance planes to
    Turkey to watch for any potential attack from Iraq. The planes flew from
    their base in Geilenkirchen, Germany, to the Turkish air force base in the
    central city of Konya and flew missions in defense of Turkish air space.
    NATO is also sending Patriot anti-missile batteries to Turkey and is
    preparing to deploy anti-biological/chemical units. NATO has also ordered
    its civil emergency experts to report on how the alliance can assist
    Turkey with the civilian consequences of any Iraqi attack, such as by
    helping hospitals, keeping roads and communications lines open or
    repairing damaged water and power networks. The order followed an
    agreement to end weeks of stalemate over whether to start military
    planning to boost Turkey’s defenses against the threat of an Iraqi air
    attack. France, backed by Germany and Belgium, had held up the planning
    during a month of crisis at NATO headquarters, arguing the measures risked
    undermining UN efforts to avert a war in Iraq. The measures were finally
    approved at the NATO Defense Planning Committee after Germany and Belgium
    dropped their veto (France does not participate in DPC meetings).

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    From: Fatma <fatma@TURKISHFORUM.COM>
    To: TF-ADVISORYBOARD@TURKISHFORUM.ORG
    Subject: Ismail Cem

    Wall Street Journal

    COMMENTARY

    The U.S. Misread Turkey's Mood From the Start

                   By ISMAIL CEM

    ANKARA -- Resentment in both parties, a mutual feeling of incapacity, an
    unwarranted tension between two traditional allies. The U.S. and Turkey . .
    . what went wrong?

    As a Turkish citizen who is one of the 95% that does not agree with the
    arguments for an imminent military operation against Iraq, or for Turkish
    military contribution to this endeavor, my interpretation is different from
    that of my government.

    In retrospect, it seems that the present confusion was first triggered by
    the unintentional but misleading impression that the Majority Leader Tayyip
    Erdogan gave in his meeting with President Bush. Turkish government
    officials gave the same positive impression to visiting U.S. officials Paul
    Wolfowitz and Marc Grossman. As a result, Washington believed that Turkey
    had given an assurance of unconditional participation in a military
    operation. In fact, that's more or less what U.S. officials -- and CNN --
    reported, following the visit by Messrs. Wolfowitz and Grossman.
    Objectively, they were correct in their reading, and they developed their
    plans for Iraq accordingly. But the Turkish political and popular reality
    was at odds with the impression that the Americans took with them.

    Second point: The U.S. administration took Turkey for granted. And the
    Turkish government took its own people and parliament for granted. Both
    Washington and Ankara undervalued the Turkish people's concerns and
    sensitivities. Besides, in political and academic circles here, there is a
    strong belief in the need for a new, explicit U.N. resolution in order to
    initiate a war. If all ongoing disarmament activities derive their
    legitimacy from a U.N. resolution, this logic goes, then a war legitimized
    by the noncompliance of Iraq must be based on a U.N. resolution as well.
    There is strong criticism of the U.S., which is seen as conferring its
    approval on the U.N. only when the latter does Washington's bidding. This
    gives the U.S., and especially its president, an image generally interpreted
    as that of a bully.

    As for the average Turkish citizen, overlooked by his government, war on
    Iraq connotes nothing but economic problems, insecurity and terrorism. It is
    widely accepted that the more Turkey is involved in Iraq, the greater will
    be her losses, both human and material. This is understandable. The last
    Gulf War had a devastating impact on Turkey. The economic and human strife
    provided the terrorist-secessionist groups in Turkey with fertile ground,
    and the growing terrorism was largely due to the activities of militants who
    had crossed the borders as refugees fleeing Iraq. Billions of dollars were
    lost in revenues, or used up in extra military spending to fight terrorism.
    For the Turkish people, the present day is like watching a scary old film
    again. Plus, in their consciences, they do not see a justification for an
    act that would cause death and misery to a neighboring people. Scenes from
    the 1991 war are present in their memories, and on TV scenes rerun for the
    occasion.

    Third point: The Turkish government has over-emphasized the economic aid
    that the U.S. was to provide in compensation for Turkey's losses. And
    Washington did not help by implicitly, even openly, blaming Turkey for
    "horse-trading." This provoked an anti-Turkish media campaign in the U.S.,
    with satirical banners and cartoons portraying Turkey as an ugly
    belly-dancer trying to charm President Bush for his money. These, of course,
    took their due place in the Turkish media. The Turkish people, who
    traditionally considered the U.S. as a friend, realized that American public
    opinion could easily turn hostile if Turkey deviates from U.S. demands. The
    new U.S. attitude hurt deeply. It probably caused as much damage as all
    other factors put together.

    All of these culminated in a negative parliamentary vote, to the surprise of
    almost everyone. But why should it have surprised? After all, Turkish
    legislators, like their American counterparts, listen to their conscience,
    and are sensitive to their constituencies.

    As to what should be done, the policy that I had advocated as chairman of an
    opposition party, two months ago, might still be relevant: In foreign
    policy, the worst damage you can cause for your interlocutor is to mislead
    him. Particularly in military matters, one should promise less, not more,
    than what one regards as feasible. Turkey should have made it clear -- and
    should still make it clear -- that in the absence of an explicit, new U.N.
    resolution its contribution would be limited to humanitarian assistance and
    to the existing and highly effective "Northern Watch." This already provides
    a Turkish airbase for U.S. and U.K. warplanes to guard the northern no-fly
    zone and to intervene when necessary. In case of a new U.N. resolution,
    Turkey could provide broadly the same framework of assistance as in the 1991
    war: Overflight and bases to U.S. planes for indiscriminate use all over
    Iraq.

    If the Turkish administration had drawn these lines right from the
    beginning, without the unintentional misleading that it caused,
    Turkish-American relations would have been much less problematic today.
    Obviously, we do not want others, especially our neighbors, to possess
    weapons of mass destruction; but we do not believe in waging war as its
    remedy, at least in the present circumstances.

    * * *

    Last point: I do not know whether the Turkish government will test the
    parliamentary will once more. Another negative response would bring about
    political turmoil. A positive response would mean Turkey's deeper
    involvement in Iraq, with all the pitfalls and dangers this carries along.

    The U.S. and Turkey have a vast geography of common concerns and common
    interests, from the Balkans to the Middle East, from NATO -- where our
    mutual stances are crucial for the alliance -- to Central Asia, where Turkey
    has centuries-old affinities and present close ties, to Afghanistan and the
    fight against international terrorism. Iraq is not the only subject. To
    continue to disarm Iraq without recourse to war is in Turkey's benefit. It
    is, I believe, in the best interests of the U.S. as well.

    Mr. Cem, former foreign minister of Turkey, is chairman of the New Turkey
    Party.
    Updated March 5, 2003 12:14 a.m. EST

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    From: Ibrahim Polat <ibopolat@hotmail.com>
    To: grassroots@turkishforum.net, koksal@TurkishForum.com,
         grassroots@TurkishForum.com
    Subject: Almanya KADEK i Yasakaladi

    ALMANYA KADEK'I YASAKLADI!..

    Avrupa Birligi'nin teror orgutleri listesine alinan PKK'nin devami oldugu
    belirlenen KADEK, Almanya'da yasaklandi.

    Turkiye ile Almanya arasinda 3 Mart 2003 tarihinde imzalanan "Terorizm ve
    Orgutlu Suclarla Mucadelede Isbirligi Anlasmasi" sonrasinda bir basin
    aciklamasi yapan Almanya Ýcisleri Bakani Otto Schily, "1993 yilindan
    itibaren PKK ve yan kuruluslari icin gecerli olan yasagin KADEK icin de
    uygulandigini, terorist Metin Kaplan'in lideri oldugu Hilafet Devleti
    Orgutu'nun de Almanya'da yasaklandigini ve tum malvarligina el
    konuldugunu, terorist Kaplan'in da onumuzdeki gunlerde Turkiye'ye iade
    edilecegini" vurguladi.

    Basin aciklamasinda bir gazetecinin; "PKK, DHKP-C teror orgutleri
    Almanya'da ve AB ulkelerinde yasadisi orgut ilan edildi. PKK'nin devami
    oldugunu aciklayan KADEK de yasadisi orgut ilan edilecek mi?" sorusu
    uzerine, Almanya Ýcisleri Bakani Otto Schily; "KADEK, PKK'nin devami olan
    bir orgut olarak Almanya'da yasaklanmistir. Ancak bu, maalesef butun
    Avrupa ulkelerinde oyle degil" diyerek, KADEK'in Avrupa Birligi'nin teror
    orgutleri listesine alinmasi gerektigine dikkat cekti.

    "KADEK'li teroristlerin, orgut lideri Abdullah Ocalan'in tutukluluk
    kosullarini bahane ederek, siddeti tirmandirmaya yonelik girisimlerine
    izin verilmeyecegini" vurgulayan Alman Icisleri Bakanligi yetkilileri,
    teror orgutu tarafindan Almanya'da organize edilen eylemlere istirak
    edenlerin ve 2001 yilinda "Ben de PKK'liyim" diyerek mahkemelere dilekce
    veren 2 bin civarindaki orgut sempatizaninin hapis ve agir para cezasinin
    yani sira, sinir disi edilmelerinin gundemde oldugunu vurguluyorlar.

    16 Ocak 2003 tarihinde Hamburg Eyalet Mahkemesi'nde yapilan yargilamada,
    2001 yilinda teror orgutu tarafindan gerceklestirilen "Ben de PKK'liyim"
    kampanyasina katildiklari belirlenen 5 orgut sempatizaninin hapisle
    cezalandirilmasi yonunde karar verilmisti. Savciligin; "Almanya'daki PKK
    yasagini delmek amaciyla teror orgutu tarafindan organize edilen eylemlere
    katildigi belirlenen ve 2 Temmuz 2001 tarihinden itibaren cezaevinde
    tutuklu bulunan Hasan Karagoz, Yavuz Persoglu, Sevda Ozaltun, Mursel
    Karasu'ya hapis ve agir para cezasi verilmesi" yonundeki talebi Hamburg
    Eyalet Mahkemesi tarafindan kabul edilmisti.

    21 Ocak 2003 tarihli Die Tageszeitung Gazetesi'nde yayinlanan Almanya
    Federal Bassavcilik aciklamasinda; "Almanya'da yasakli PKK teror orgutu,
    2002 yilinin Nisan ayindan itibaren ismini KADEK olarak degistirmistir.
    PKK yasagi KADEK icin de gecerlidir. Ismini degistirmesine ragmen orgut,
    terorist yapisini ve faaliyetlerini surdurmektedir" denilerek, KADEK'in
    terorist kimligi vurgulanmisti.

    Ote yandan, Hollanda da, onumuzdeki gunlerde cikarilacak olan Teror
    Yasalari cercevesinde, aralarinda PKK (yeni adi KADEK) ve DHKP/C'nin de
    bulundugu, AB ve ABD'nin teror orgutleri listesindeki tum terorist
    gruplarin ve yan kuruluslarinin yasaklanarak, mal varliklarina ve
    paralarina el konulacagi aciklandi.

    Kuresel terorizmle mucadelede kararli olan uluslararasi kamuoyu, ABD'nin
    teror orgutleri listesine alinan ve Almanya tarafindan yasaklanan
    KADEK'in, Avrupa Birligi'nin "teror orgutleri listesi"ne alinmasini
    bekliyor.

    Ibrahim Polat

    <><><><><><><><><><> T U R K I S H F O R U M <><><><><><><><><><><>
    <><><> Informing and Activating Turks and Friends World Wide <><><>
    <><><><><><><><><><><> " United We Stand " <><><><><><><><><><><><><>


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